Sleeper pick: Matt Jones, +17,500. 1. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. The Genesis Invitational is Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Ian provides analysis and an introductory guide to golf live betting on the PGA Tour by making selections both before and during the 2023 Arnold Palmer . Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000 Odds to Win, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Card & Other Predictions, Christiaan Bezuidenhout Top-20 Finish +375, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. New Customer Offer (if applicable). Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Vipers odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). Additionally, since 2015, every winner at the event has been a major champion or won The Players Championship. Ancer will get his first PGA Tour win in 2021 why not at a major? Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Took a hit at the Wells Fargo with an MC, but he finished T3, T9, T13 in his three starts before that. This pick is justifiable on its own Homa has big-time game but Homas fill-in caddie, Jim Bones Mackay, is the X-factor that could propel him to the big-time this week. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Sleeper pick: K.H. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. Ill stop typing for a second to relax my tiny neck as it struggles to hold my giant head. Scottie Scheffler has the next best odds to win with a 10% implied probability. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. If he can give us a complete round, we will be looking good in this range. Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 5. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. Gambling problem? I still feel that were bound to get a run in DJs career where he rolls off a few major victories. Keep it social. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills Lifestyle PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills By: Nick Piastowski May. This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. Joe Nicely - Max Homa 3. Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. We will be looking to take advantage of Sungjae Im tomorrow, alongsideKeagan BradleyandJason Day,who will come in much less owned than the Korean. Visit the sportsbook today to place your wagers! The Spaniard also leads in greens in regulation percentage (75.7%) and strokes gained total. Its been a quietly strong season for the veteran, who has added a much-improved short game to his power repertoire. He is averaging almost 18-under par in his five stateside events and leads the tour in scoring average. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Five of those were victories, including his last outing at the Genesis Invitational. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Here are a few tips. The contest at FDU's Stratis Arena in Teaneck will tip off at 8 p.m. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. Every week, we share our. Lifestyle . at Kiawah in 2012. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. The afternoon played about half a shot more difficult despite experiencing "significantly more wind" than the AM wave. The Ocean Course is long, difficult and a windy place to play golf, but its a course that fits Leishman well. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. Besides Jon Rahm, no one is hotter than McIlory right now. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. This was a tough card to put together. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. Bradley and Bezuidenhout were mentioned in the sleeper section. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. Corey Conners shot 66 (-6) and lead the field in fantasy points, taking advantage of the rather benign conditions this morning. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! 21 years of age or older to wager. His ability to scramble and avoid bogeys will be a major key to how well he does. Leverage: A less popular player who played poorly yesterday. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom) Kim, who finished T17 at last weeks AT&T Byron Nelson after appearing as a Sleeper at +550 for a Top 20). One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Editor's Note: In addition to PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, fans can also participate in the PGA Championship's fantasy game this week and win merchandise from Southern Hills. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. To-win: Rory McIlroy, +1,150. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. To-win: Dustin Johnson, +1,850. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. already this season, including two designated events. 1-ranked player in the world has now won twice in his last three events worldwide. Sleeper pick: Lee Westwood, +11,000. If the wind picks up, the scores wont be as good. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) One hole has him in T41 vs T13 had he made par there. The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. The wind is going to get significantly stronger as the day goes on, with potential for two scenarios. The 33-year-old won two weeks ago at the Dubai Desert Classic, and the No. First-bet offers not valid in Ohio. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. You never mind a South African when the wind blows, especially a talent for whom his approach game has been his strength of late. Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Four golfers are priced shorter than 20-1 in Caesars Sportsbook's latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, led by Rahm at 7-1. Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where hes able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Andrew. Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. He has the best odds to win at +650. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Collin Morikawa wasnt the only winner at last years PGA Championship. The message was that he's balanced and playing well upon arrival. Lee, the man who barely missed a shot all last week, at 225-to-1??? And if youre feeling frisky, the most recent of his 83 career top 10s was right here in 2021. Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 4. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. Big whoop. Not to mention a guy who has been rock solid all year. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. May 25, 2022 9:00 am ET. Harman hasnt had much success at Riviera, but if he can figure out the poa greens, he has a solid chance to perform well. Top 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. To-win: Viktor Hovland, +2,000. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. Hes also enjoyed a strong 2023, with two top-20 finishes in his last three events. As for Spieth (43) and Zalatoris (30), they dont rank highly in my model, but +4000 at a major-like event is probably the best value Ill get on either player for the rest of the year. , followed by my betting card for the week. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. And for the last time this season, players will be putting on poa greens. When youre talented, youre talented. He led the field that week in Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green and both par-3 and par-5 scoring, so the memory bank is rich with positive vibes. Jon Rahm is predicted to win Genesis Invitational with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. Hes made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 3 groupings for Saturday, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. The app, which is owned by GOLF.coms parent company, 8AM Golf, is designed to inject the adrenaline of live gambling into a fun, risk-free contest. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. Pricing may vary. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. The rough isnt very penalizing, but players must avoid strategically placed water hazards. The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. The next closest is 33.6. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! On to the picks. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. McClure uses his proprietary simulation model to analyze the field and crush his golf picks.. McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? At 7,466 yards, its a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. His R3 scoring is not the best but that is usually because he is around the top of the leaderboard. They may lay off the water going forward which will make the afternoon much drier and crusty, resulting in scoring being a little more difficult for the afternoon wave. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!! Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only player with odds shorter than +2500 to win the tournament. Winners have primarily come from the second tier in the odds board. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. Give it to me! While the past few weeks have given advantages to players who putt well on poa, putting wont be a key metric this week. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. But he still might be the best player in the game. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Taking sleeper picks is always a bit risky, but Dahmen should be coming into this week with confidence he can win. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). We're back at The King's place for the second leg of the Florida swing. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). A little hard to believe, but a golfer who is in the top five in the world rankings has yet to play in an Open Championship. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. The last time we entered a seaside major championship where everything hinged on a stiff breeze, Gary Woodland won by three strokes. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook or through free-to-play Chirp Golf, an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play. 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Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? These are tough to figure out and give most players fits. Theegala burst onto the scene a year ago at this event with a T-3 in his tournament debut. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. 21 years of age or older to wager. The top players in my Fantasy National didnt provide much value and/or havent had the best of success at this event. The two-time PGA champion barely cracked. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. The 33-year-old was able to break through for his first career win last year and was in the mix for the Presidents Cup team, yet oddsmakers rarely include him with the other top golfers. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 . 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. As for props, McIlroy has been on fire of late, and Harman came out 14th in my model, providing solid value. All Rights Reserved. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 The most exciting hole at Riviera is the drivable par-4 10th hole at just over 300 yards. Its time for the Class of 2011 to bag another one. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with three wins on the PGA Tour already this season, including two designated events. 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. I went back and forth between going all in on Finau or Max Homa but ultimately went with Finau on a coin-flip decision. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. He finished T-13 in 2021. The career renaissance is capped by his first major win. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. You can only see McClure's Honda Classic one and done picks at SportsLine. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. OK, lets continue. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. Bradley barely made the cut after shooting 77 (+5). Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Below are the power rankings of the golfers who we have our eye on for Round 3. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. The players who are most likely to have success this week are the ones who can position themselves well off the tee by working their golf ball in both directions and then scramble well around the greens. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. Power limped into the clubhouse but has shown he can get hot at any given moment. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. This years PGA Championship tees off Thursday at Kiawah Island. Chirp is a new golf-gaming platform that allows users to place live bets using fake money to win amazing, real-life prizes. Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. Expert picks to win and sleepers to watch for the Open Championship . Odds were sourced on Tuesday, May 17, 2022. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. Mega chalk: A popular player who played well yesterday. Thomas is 207th in proximity to the hole this season and ranks 115th in strokes gained putting. Those include Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and Bay Hill. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. The affable personality is a short-lister for sponsor exemptions, when necessary, and theyll come in handy playing on conditional status, but the pressure is eased at 109th in the FedExCup. Once again, Im relying heavily on my Fantasy National model. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. Sitting a few shots back is EXACTLY where he feels most comfortable and hopefully the majority of ownership falls on Rory who had a great R2 and is the cheapest of the "Big 3". Garrick Higgo might not be a familiar name to American fans, but the South African has been one of the hottest golfers in the world this spring.
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